DarkTrade Intelligence

DarkTrade Divergence Index

Where the vetted elite of Hyperliquid disagree with the crowd. Daily net positioning of the largest proven accounts versus the broader tracked field, per coin — every figure from public on-chain data.

Latest snapshot: 2026-07-17 · 15 days of observed history · how this is computed

Today's widest divergence

PENGU: +146.4 pts

Elite accounts are +100.0% net long while the broader field sits at -46.4% — sample: 3 elite / 16 field wallets.

Elite vs field, coin by coin — 2026-07-17

Net bias = (long − short) / gross exposure, so +100% is all-long and −100% all-short. The divergence score is elite minus field, in percentage points. Scores are withheld when a cohort's sample is too thin to mean anything (fewer than 3 elite or 10 field wallets).

CoinElite net biasField net biasDivergenceSamples (elite/field)
PENGU+100.0%-46.4%+146.4 pts3 / 16
XRP+86.1%-54.7%+140.8 pts5 / 29
SOL+72.3%-64.9%+137.2 pts13 / 72
kBONK+88.3%-48.4%+136.7 pts4 / 15
BNB+92.2%-21.5%+113.7 pts6 / 29
PENDLE+90.8%+0.1%+90.7 pts3 / 13
DOGE+8.1%-81.6%+89.7 pts5 / 22
XPL+20.9%-68.7%+89.6 pts12 / 31
LINK+73.2%-16.3%+89.5 pts6 / 21
AVAX-100.0%-27.2%-72.8 pts4 / 23
WLFI+25.4%-41.5%+66.9 pts3 / 23
BCH-74.2%-7.4%-66.8 pts4 / 14
XMR-3.6%-69.8%+66.2 pts7 / 37
ETH+8.7%-56.0%+64.7 pts15 / 108
ENA-16.5%-78.0%+61.5 pts8 / 31
ETHFI+19.1%-40.0%+59.1 pts3 / 22
AAVE-2.0%-57.3%+55.3 pts9 / 33
BTC-5.1%-59.2%+54.1 pts17 / 131
ZEC+45.4%-1.5%+46.9 pts15 / 73
VVV-36.9%-82.6%+45.7 pts4 / 22

PENGU: divergence history

+1460-1462026-07-16: divergence +121.3 pts (elite +83.9% vs field -37.4%)2026-07-17: divergence +146.4 pts (elite +100.0% vs field -46.4%)2026-07-162026-07-17
PENGU divergence score (elite net bias minus field net bias, percentage points), 2 observed daily snapshots. Latest: +146.4 pts.

Scoreboard: how the calls resolved

A “call” is any day a coin's divergence exceeded ±40 points. It resolves at the first snapshot 7+ days later: a win if price moved with the elite's lean, a loss if it moved against. Wins and losses, because a scoreboard you can't lose on isn't one. Resolved so far: 41 wins · 43 losses · 105 still open.

CalledCoinDivergenceElite leanPrice 7d laterOutcome
2026-07-10AAVE-181.0 ptsshort-5.1%✓ win
2026-07-10BTC+91.7 ptslong-1.6%✗ loss
2026-07-10ETH+108.6 ptslong+2.0%✓ win
2026-07-10SOL+59.5 ptslong-4.2%✗ loss
2026-07-10XRP+153.2 ptslong-1.9%✗ loss
2026-07-09AAVE-101.7 ptsshort+0.4%✗ loss
2026-07-09BTC-53.6 ptsshort+1.5%✗ loss
2026-07-09DOGE-74.7 ptsshort+0.3%✗ loss
2026-07-09ETH-51.7 ptsshort+6.9%✗ loss
2026-07-09FARTCOIN-41.6 ptsshort-4.5%✓ win
2026-07-09HYPE-46.3 ptsshort-7.4%✓ win
2026-07-09LIT-67.6 ptsshort+1.9%✗ loss
2026-07-09NEAR-90.1 ptsshort+5.9%✗ loss
2026-07-09PUMP-49.8 ptsshort+14.7%✗ loss
2026-07-09SOL-61.9 ptsshort-3.2%✓ win
2026-07-09WLD-122.5 ptsshort+2.8%✗ loss
2026-07-09XMR-43.7 ptsshort+5.1%✗ loss
2026-07-09XPL-71.8 ptsshort-5.6%✓ win
2026-07-09ZEC-57.3 ptsshort+15.0%✗ loss
2026-07-08AAVE-51.1 ptsshort+9.8%✗ loss

Updated daily from Hyperliquid's public API. “Elite” is our vetted selection of proven large accounts; the methodology page defines every term on this page. Daily analysis lives on the Whale Watch hub.

Market observation, not financial advice. Large accounts are often wrong; position sizes here would be reckless at retail scale.